MINA NADYReal Estate DevelopmentRiyadh Marriott hotel
Riyadh / Marriott hotel

Residual Land Valuation

Establish the maximum supportable land price, understand the value bridge and negotiate alternative land payment structures without losing sight of the required return.

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Input guidance and saving

Values use GFA / BUA consistently. Finance is a percentage allowance, not a debt cash-flow model. Deferred payments assume the balance is paid once at the end of the entered term. Revenue-share ceilings are undiscounted.

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Development value and cost

GDV9,760,000,000 EGP
Non-land costs5,641,034,400 EGP
Residual land2,114,112,780.5 EGP

1. Development basis

All development costs are calculated from GFA / BUA.

GFA basis

2. Cost and return allowances

Enter explicit allowances before solving for land.

3. Land commercial structure

Translate the residual ceiling into a payment structure—not every land deal is an outright purchase.

Negotiation view
Report readiness: Ready to issue

All entered assumptions and the selected commercial structure pass validation. A negative residual, if shown, remains an explicit deficit rather than being clamped to zero.

4. Residual value bridge

From development value to the maximum price payable for land. Negative output is retained as an explicit deficit.

Gross development valueEGP 9,760,000,000
Construction cost(EGP 3,720,000,000)
Soft costs(EGP 446,400,000)
Infrastructure(EGP 420,000,000)
Contingency(EGP 343,980,000)
Marketing & sales(EGP 292,800,000)
Finance allowance(EGP 417,854,400)
Developer profit (20% of GDV)(EGP 1,952,000,000)
Acquisition costs(EGP 52,852,820)
Raw residual land value / deficitEGP 2,114,112,780

5. Two-way sensitivity

Residual land value under changes in selling value and construction cost.

Values in millions
Cost \ Price-10%-5%+0%+5%+10%
-10%18662226258629463306
-5%16301990235027103070
+0%13941754211424742834
+5%11581518187822382598
+10%9231282164220022362
Development Assistant SuiteDevelopment, valuation and decision tools

Residual Land Valuation

Coastal Mixed-Use Development

Acquisition Ceiling & Commercial Terms

Maximum supportable land value: EGP 2,114,112,780
EGP100,000 m² land155,000 m² GFA / BUA
Coastal Mixed-Use DevelopmentResidual Land Valuation

Executive conclusion

Supportable Land Acquisition Position

The raw residual is retained without clamping. A negative result is a deficit against the target return, not a zero land value.
Report readiness: Ready to issue

The entered assumptions and land terms passed the validation checks.

EGP 2,114,112,780Outright purchase
EGP 21,141per m² land
EGP 13,639per m² GFA / BUA
21.7%before acquisition costs

Acquisition recommendation

Negotiation ceilingEGP 2,114,112,780. Do not exceed this ceiling without an evidenced change in value, cost, timing or required return.

The residual indication is above the comparable evidence. Maintain bidding discipline and investigate evidence quality.

Basis of conclusion

Development basis155,000 m² GFA / BUA
Target developer profit20.0% of GDV
Land structure testedOutright purchase
Comparable cross-checkEGP 1,450,000,000
Residual variance+45.8%
Coastal Mixed-Use DevelopmentResidual Land Valuation

Value bridge

From Development Value to Residual Land

All development costs are calculated on the stated GFA / BUA basis before solving for land.

Residual calculation

Gross development valueEGP 9,760,000,000
Construction cost(EGP 3,720,000,000)
Soft costs(EGP 446,400,000)
Infrastructure(EGP 420,000,000)
Contingency(EGP 343,980,000)
Marketing & sales(EGP 292,800,000)
Finance allowance(EGP 417,854,400)
Developer profit (20% of GDV)(EGP 1,952,000,000)
Acquisition costs(EGP 52,852,820)
Residual land valueEGP 2,114,112,780

Key development assumptions

Land area100,000 m²
GFA / BUA155,000 m²
Sale value / GFAEGP 62,000
Other revenueEGP 150,000,000
Construction / GFAEGP 24,000
Soft costs12.0% hard cost
Contingency7.5%
Marketing & sales3.0% GDV
Finance allowance8.0% development cost
Acquisition costs2.5% land
Coastal Mixed-Use DevelopmentResidual Land Valuation

Downside testing & commercial structure

Sensitivity, Market Cross-Check & Land Terms

Residual land value is tested against changes in selling value and construction cost, then translated into the selected commercial structure.

Residual value sensitivity

Cost \ Price-10%-5%+0%+5%+10%
-10%18662226258629463306
-5%16301990235027103070
+0%13941754211424742834
+5%11581518187822382598
+10%9231282164220022362

Central case is highlighted. Values are shown in millions.

Comparable cross-check

EGP 1,450,000,000EGP 14,500 / m² land
EGP 2,114,112,780
+45.8%residual vs comparable
Reconciliation requiredResidual value exceeds the market indication. Preserve market-based bidding discipline.
02

Land Payment Terms & Negotiation Parameters

Selected structure - Outright purchase

Supportable considerationEGP 2,114,112,780
Payment formCash consideration
Maximum bidEGP 2,114,112,780

Negotiation guardrails

  • Separate headline price from present value for deferred terms.
  • Define the revenue base, audit rights and settlement timing for revenue share.
  • Test security, guarantees, termination and step-in rights.
  • Re-run phasing, escalation, tax and finance timing before execution.
Decision ruleCommercial flexibility changes payment form, not the economic ceiling.